Will the northern lights be visible in Manchester tonight?
Wait for a real gap in the clouds.
Cloud or rain at the NOAA forecast time blocks a useful local check, even if activity is modeled above it.
Astronomical darkness
Dark now · dark at 7 Nov, 03:56
Local modeled activity
0 · NOAA grid indicator, not a visibility %
Cloud at NOAA forecast time
76%
Local visibility probability: not rated. Nearby activity is conditional, not a guaranteed display; exceptionally bright aurora may show through twilight.
Manchester city reference, not the whole metropolitan area. Calculated 7 Nov, 03:05 local. NOAA forecast valid 7 Nov, 03:56 local; darkness and clouds are assessed at that time.
Calculation details, times & sources
City reference: 53.48095°, -2.23743° · Europe/London. This is one position, not a forecast for the entire metropolitan area.
Current local time: 7 Nov, 03:05 · astronomically dark.
Calculated for local · 2026-11-07T03:05:00.000Z.
Weather basis: Live forecast in use · coverage through 16 Nov, 12:00.
NOAA activity fetched 2026-11-07T03:06:18.459Z · latest Kp sample 2026-11-07T00:00:00 UTC. OVATION observation 2026-11-07T02:57:00Z · forecast valid at 2026-11-07T03:56:00Z. Current activity is not a promise for the whole night, tomorrow or the weekend. Bz and solar-wind source timestamps are not supplied by the existing data adapter.
What supports this assessment
Current Kp
3.0
Local OVATION indicator
0 · nearest grid point 56 km away; not a personal viewing percentage
Maximum indicator within 1,000 km
7 · 973 km away; distant viewing conditional
Forecast-time darkness
Astronomically dark
Forecast-time clouds
76% · matching forecast hour
Bz
1.0 nT · fetched with this snapshot
Solar wind
443 km/s · fetched with this snapshot
Night cloud average
75%
Astronomical darkness begins
6 Nov, 18:27
Astronomical darkness ends
7 Nov, 05:19
Moon illumination
5% · context, not an aurora score input
NOAA OVATION supplies the geographic activity grid for both hemispheres. Indicators are not personal viewing probabilities. NOAA says bright aurora may be visible up to 1,000 km away under suitable conditions; the nearby maximum is conditional context, not a guarantee. SnapCosmos accepts observations up to two hours old and targets no more than 20 minutes past or 90 minutes ahead. Moonlight remains separate context; no new scoring input is introduced.
Full assessment basis: The forecast-time sky is 76% cloud-covered. Modeled aurora above the clouds is not a reason to make an observing trip. Darkness boundaries are astronomical geometry, not a promise of aurora activity during those hours.
Northern lights in Manchester: what you should know
A storm-night opportunity
Manchester's reference sits at 53.48° N. Aurora visible from here usually needs strong geomagnetic activity, and the Met Office Space Weather Operations Centre issues UK-specific aurora outlooks during such events. This page uses NOAA's short-term geographic model at the forecast time.
The Greater Manchester light dome hides faint aurora. Darker skies lie in the Peak District and the South Pennines; CPRE's light pollution map shows where the sky gets darker. Wherever you go, you need an open northern horizon.
Coordinates and IANA time zone: Open-Meteo geocoding / GeoNames, checked 25 October 2026. Local clocks follow the named time zone, including applicable clock changes.
Continue with your observing position
The position buttons above transfer these coordinates to the specialised tool. The guide links below are reference reading, not a separate forecast.