Cloud or rain at the NOAA forecast time blocks a useful local check, even if activity is modeled above it.
Astronomical darkness
Dark now · dark at 6 Nov, 21:56
Local modeled activity
0 · NOAA grid indicator, not a visibility %
Cloud at NOAA forecast time
68%
Local visibility probability: not rated. Nearby activity is conditional, not a guaranteed display; exceptionally bright aurora may show through twilight.
Chicago city reference, not the whole metropolitan area. Calculated 6 Nov, 21:05 local. NOAA forecast valid 6 Nov, 21:56 local; darkness and clouds are assessed at that time.
Calculation details, times & sources
City reference: 41.85003°, -87.65005° · America/Chicago. This is one position, not a forecast for the entire metropolitan area.
Current local time: 6 Nov, 21:05 · astronomically dark.
Calculated for local · 2026-11-07T03:05:00.000Z.
Weather basis: Live forecast in use · coverage through 16 Nov, 06:00.
NOAA activity fetched 2026-11-07T03:06:17.636Z · latest Kp sample 2026-11-07T00:00:00 UTC. OVATION observation 2026-11-07T02:57:00Z · forecast valid at 2026-11-07T03:56:00Z. Current activity is not a promise for the whole night, tomorrow or the weekend. Bz and solar-wind source timestamps are not supplied by the existing data adapter.
What supports this assessment
Current Kp
3.0
Local OVATION indicator
0 · nearest grid point 33 km away; not a personal viewing percentage
Maximum indicator within 1,000 km
6 · 908 km away; distant viewing conditional
Forecast-time darkness
Astronomically dark
Forecast-time clouds
68% · matching forecast hour
Bz
1.0 nT · fetched with this snapshot
Solar wind
443 km/s · fetched with this snapshot
Night cloud average
7%
Astronomical darkness begins
6 Nov, 18:14
Astronomical darkness ends
7 Nov, 04:55
Moon illumination
5% · context, not an aurora score input
NOAA OVATION supplies the geographic activity grid for both hemispheres. Indicators are not personal viewing probabilities. NOAA says bright aurora may be visible up to 1,000 km away under suitable conditions; the nearby maximum is conditional context, not a guarantee. SnapCosmos accepts observations up to two hours old and targets no more than 20 minutes past or 90 minutes ahead. Moonlight remains separate context; no new scoring input is introduced.
Full assessment basis: The forecast-time sky is 68% cloud-covered. Modeled aurora above the clouds is not a reason to make an observing trip. Darkness boundaries are astronomical geometry, not a promise of aurora activity during those hours.
Northern lights in Chicago: What you should know
A storm opportunity, not a nightly attraction
Chicago's city reference lies at 41.85° north. Aurora here is an occasional storm opportunity rather than a dependable winter attraction. NOAA's viewing guidance explains that stronger geomagnetic activity expands visibility toward lower latitudes; its maps use geomagnetic latitude, not a city's geographic latitude alone.
Chicago's winter nights give more darkness than its summer nights. Darkness alone cannot bring the oval south: check activity first, then the cloud forecast. A clear, north-facing view matters, but this city-reference calculation does not know whether a building or local terrain blocks your horizon.
Coordinates and IANA time zone: Open-Meteo geocoding / GeoNames, checked 25 October 2026. Local clocks follow the named time zone, including applicable clock changes.
Continue with your observing position
The position buttons above transfer these coordinates to the specialised tool. The guide links below are reference reading, not a separate forecast.